Sunday, September 9, 2012

Ken Fisher’s shares in Starbucks



Billionaire Ken Fisher’s stock picks have outperformed the stock market. The positions of his Fisher Asset Management have not changed in size over the second quarter. Comparing the hedge fund’s 13F from Q2 with its Q1’s, we can see that a few stock positions have increased by 2 per cent or decreased by 1 per cent and so on, until we get a peek of Starbucks. The holdings of Fisher Asset Management of the coffee shops rose to 10m shares (for the end of June) from 550k (for the beginning of April). The stock of Starbucks rose with additional 8 per cent in 2012. It is also up 77 per cent in comparison to 5 years ago and it has more than doubled in price for the past 2 years. Another large position in Starbucks is of Columbus Circle Investors with 3.6 m shares.
The third fiscal quarter of Starbucks was characterized by 13 per cent increase in revenue in comparison with the third fiscal quarter in 2011. Marco watchers are worried about the American consumers and a common debate is that whether American should spend 5 dollars for a cup of coffee. Nevertheless, the segment of America reported 7 per cent same-store sales growth. Moreover, the same-store sales have risen with 12 percent in China/Asia-Pacific. Since many fixed costs were held in check, the net income has increased with 19 per cent.
The revenue of Starbucks has grown with 15 per cent and the company’s net income has risen to 16 per cent in comparison to 2011.
Starbucks is a growing business but the catch is that it carries a premium valuation. 27 is the number of the trailing price-to-earnings, and the estimation of forward earnings is 20 per cent EPS growth for 2013.
Starbucks could be compared to other companies which share the same problems – Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, which like Starbucks depends on the demand for coffee, Dunkin Brands, McDonalds and Panera Bread.
Being lampooned as a company which have locations that are within spitting distance of one another, it has still managed to get down to serious business. Moreover, it trumps both McDonalds and Dunkin in terms of recent growth.

1 comment:

  1. A question for all you disciples/followers of Ken. He constantly states that where ever you plan to do with an annuity, there is a better way.

    Here is my test:My lady friend is 55 and would like to stop working this year when she is fully vested in her company retirement plan. However that leaves about 10 years until such time.I can cover our daily living with now problem. My concern is how to cover her approx $400/month med insurance and some income for mad money. I was thinking of purchasing an $250K immediate annuity, so what is a better solution? neak5@rcn.com

    ReplyDelete